Believe me, I am sick and tired of writing about COVID-19 and can’t wait until this is no longer the overwhelming issue of the day. But that day is not yet here. It will be, I believe, and sooner rather than later.
It seems we have three ways to deal with COVID-19: shelter at home, a vaccine or herd immunity.
A vaccine would be manna from heaven, and there is a lot of good news on that front. Because of our instantaneous communications global infrastructure, the internet, we are making progress at lightning speed.
There is a downside. Vaccines can be dangerous, and the pressure to cut corners could lead to great harm. That being said, many experts are optimistic a vaccine will be available before the end of this year. Praise the Lord!
Shelter at home, in my humble opinion, does not offer much promise at this point. Been there. Done that. Didn’t work. Destroyed the economy, risking even more lives. I was OK with sheltering at home for a month, which is the average time it takes a person to get over the disease. Instead, it ended up being more than two months.
Then when we came back out, the virus was still there just waiting for us. And here we are just back where we started except with a wrecked economy and 30 million jobs lost. That’s my take on it, and I’m not alone based on dozens of people I have asked. Maybe we didn’t lock down good enough. But that is neither here nor there. It’s the lay of the land. People are people and you can only get them to do so much.
As for masks, I am 100% for masks if it can stop us from shutting down again. Wearing a mask is a trivial inconvenience compared to locking down.
That leaves herd immunity, which was the subject of my first-ever, internet-first column. For those who think I’m ignoring the experts and want to understand why, I suggest you read my column online where everything is referenced and linked. If you want to just berate me as a moron, I recommend the Northside Sun Facebook page. Be warned: Juvenile insults don’t discourage me. To me, that’s just a sign I’ve won the debate on logic.
Herd immunity. Why are so many people against herd immunity? It is nature’s way of dealing with viruses and it has brought us to seven billion strong. If you Google “herd immunity” you find article after article saying herd immunity is a pipe dream, yet there is an increasing body of evidence that the COVID-19 herd immunity threshold is as low as 10 to 20%. The mainstream media ignores this. Why?
If there is no herd immunity, why are Europe and the U.S. Northeast seeing hardly any surge as they reopen? If there is no herd immunity, why have Swedish cases dropped to a third and deaths dropped to a 10th of peak — when they had the least restrictive COVID-19 response in the world?
Right now, we are seeing a surge in California, Texas, Florida and even Mississippi. Why? Because we shut down before the virus took hold. We delayed the inevitable. We haven’t yet gone through the painful process of developing herd immunity. The virus will run its course and then peter out. That’s what viruses do.
Deaths are stable so far, but hospitalizations in Mississippi are up significantly, and it’s scary. The good news is that both are not increasing anything like the case load. In the U.S., cases are now double the spring peaks, yet deaths are one-third the spring peaks. That’s very good news, if it holds up.
New studies have discovered that half of us may already be immune to COVID-19 because of our exposure to the four common cold coronaviruses. That makes herd immunity much closer than we thought. We’re at 50% without doing anything.
This immunity comes not from antibodies, but from the “memory” of white blood cells and it may last for years. This would explain why half the people who test positive are asymptomatic.
New treatments are being perfected. Existing vaccines such as the MMR are proving to confer protection. Common steroids are working. Dr. Reed Hogan of Jackson has a promising treatment using Pepcid and Zyrtec, two over-the-counter drugs.
We’re learning that mechanical ventilation may do more harm than good in many cases. Like anything else, we’re learning as we go.
But please let’s not shut down again. That causes economic disaster leading to even more stress, which weakens our best weapon, our immune system.
We can do this. Wear masks. Wash your hands. Social distance. Don’t panic. Sleep and eat well. Get outside and exercise. Pray. Meditate. Carry on.
Reach Wyatt Emmerich at wyatt@northsidesun.com.
